Election Night Results Live!

Here we are, folks: Election Night.  Results have started coming in as I type this, so I’ll keep it brief.  As of 7 pm Central Time, Obama leads 64 Electoral Votes to 40, with states like Massachusetts, Vermont, Maryland, South Carolina, and Kentucky beginning to report their totals.  Not very many surprises so far, but states have only begun to report their results: we will not know definitively for a few hours at least, however the exit polls typically can be a decent predictor.  The live updates are below: be sure to check back frequently for news and analysis as it comes down.

00.23

Romney Concedes.

Well, that’s that.  Romney delivered a subdued and straightforward concession speech around the top of the hour.  He congratulated the President, thanked his supporters and his team, and generally tried to heal the divide created by the partisan campaign.  All fairly standard stuff by concession speech standards.  Surprised?  It’s hard to believe on one level, but I’m impressed.  Romney was gracious in defeat despite the bitter campaign, and good on him.

President Obama is expected to give his victory speech shortly.

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23.25

President Obama wins Colorado according to CNN.

Colorado was one of the other swing states this time around, to be sure.  In fact, the situation in Ohio according to CNN officially Does Not Matter, as President Obama now has enough Electoral Votes to survive losing Ohio, Florida, and Virginia.  It will be much closer if that happens, of course, but now we can be even more sure that President Obama has won re-election.

President Obama: 290 – 201 Governor Romney

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23.06

A premature call?

If you’re wondering where the post-election speeches are, Ohio may hold the answers.  Apparently, despite every major network projecting an Obama win, Governor Romney pulled ahead briefly after the announcement.  The Romney campaign is supposedly looking at the numbers and waiting for a more official confirmation before they concede officially. What happens if the networks got Ohio, and thus potentially the call itself, wrong?  Part of me wants to see that out of sheer curiosity and the reaction of the entire U.S. media.  Then again, for the good of the country, I would want this to be resolved smoothly.  After all, who wants a repeat of 2000?

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22.54

A case of sour grapes, or just hubris?

The Boston Herald is reporting that Governor Romney did not even prepare a concession speech.  That is awkward, to say the least, particularly if President Obama picks up most of the rest of the states.  CNN says we will get one at some point this evening, but I’m not holding my breath.  Needless to say, in retrospect this looks a little childish of the former Governor, does it not?

On a side note, CNN projects Obama wins Nevada.

President Obama: 281 – 201 Governor Romney

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22.29

President Obama has won re-election as President of the United States.

CNN, the Huffington Post, NPR, and others are projecting President Obama will carry Ohio, giving him more than the required 270 Electoral Votes to win re-election.

There are still a few states left to report, most notably Virginia and Florida, however President Obama will remain President for another four years.  This means that this live blog is drawing to a close, but I’ll stick around until midnight Central Time (1 am Eastern) to add any late-breaking projections to the total.  A full debrief will be posted in the next few days as a separate post, but I hope y’all enjoyed reading this as much as I enjoyed writing it.

Electoral Vote Count as of 10:28 pm Central Time according to CNN (will change once the remaining states report their votes)

President Obama 274 – 201 Governor Romney

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22.22

Missouri is projected for Governor Romney.

No surprises there.  While St. Louis and Kansas City are reliably Democratic, the rest of the state, similar to states like Texas, are just as reliably red-leaning.

President Obama: 256 – 201 Governor Romney

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22.16

President Obama has just won Oregon according to CNN.

Fairly expected, as Oregon generally votes with the rest of the West Coast.  I would have been shocked if Gov. Romney had won Oregon while losing California and Washington.

President Obama: 256 – 191 Governor Romney

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22.13

President Obama wins Iowa.

Iowa has been in the Democratic column for a few weeks at this point, however it is still an interesting bright spot in the Midwest for the President, which has to this point gone straight Republican.

New Mexico has gone for the President as well.  Not quite that surprising, as the state has been blue for the last couple of cycles.  That said, being sandwiched between Colorado, Arizona, and Texas, it is always a question simply because of the electoral geography of its neighbors.

President Obama: 249 – 191 Governor Romney

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22.07

President Obama has won California, Washington State, and Hawaii, while Governor Romney has won Idaho and Montana.  No surprises here, as California and Washington are as stable for the Democrats as states like Texas and Georgia are for the Republicans.  The interesting part is that Oregon is not getting a projection from CNN yet – exit polls show President Obama ahead, but we will have to wait for official word.

President Obama has won Wisconsin, and North Carolina has finally broken for Mitt Romney.  Wisconsin is a big pickup for the Democrats, as it is Re. Paul Ryan’s home state – typically the candidates pick up the states they are from, however the GOP is 0 for 2 on that count this time around.

In addition, CNN is now predicting that the Democrats will retain control of the Senate.  Makes sense, with Claire McCaskill staying in her seat and picking up Indiana.

Current total as of 10:07 pm Central Time according to CNN

President Obama: 238 – 191 Governor Romney

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22.01

Arizona goes for Romney.

This one, I had thought, would ultimately end up in the Governor’s column, however many Democrats had held out hope that the PResident would have a shot at it.  Stand by for the west coast projections!

(Previous total included Arizona)

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21.58

Minnesota goes for Obama, according to CNN.

I hadn’t put this one in the President’s column heading into this evening, as I had thought it was more of a tossup, if anything.  That said, Nate Silver’s latest projections heading into today were unanimous with the President winning by 5.  Very interesting, to say the least.

President Obama: 157 – 169 Governor Romney

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21.45

Taking a first look at the various ballot measures up for a vote around the country tonight, NBC is reporting that voters have approved a measure to allow the use of Marijuana for medicinal use.  This is but one of a few similar measures on the topic around the country tonight, with the most notable being Colorado’s question of approving the drug for general, and not just medical, use.  Either way, these measures will likely lead to a Federal Court challenge in the near future in what will prove to be an interesting question of Federal power versus the States.

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21.26

McCaskill wins re-election in Missouri!  Todd Akin, as many of you may recall, was one of the first high profile candidates to make a rather insensitive comment regarding women’s issues this fall.  Just as with happened with Mr. Mourdock in Indiana, Akin’s “legitimate rape” comment seems to have sunk him.  Nice to see them get their just desserts, isn’t it?

 

(Hat tip to all 30 of y’all that messaged me as soon as it popped up)

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21.06

Laughter in the audience here as Governor Romney is projected to win Utah.  The state is traditionally heavily Republican, but the influence of the Mormon community puts it even more firmly in Romney’s column.

Interestingly, no projections yet for the other states closing this hour: Montana, Nevada, and Iowa.  In the latter two, President Obama has a slight lead according to CNN exit polls.

That said, we now learn that New Hampshire rounds out the Northeast in President Obama’s column.  Sure, it’s only 4 Electoral Votes, but it has an independent streak (after all, its motto is “Live Free or Die!”), and every vote matters at this point!

President Obama: 147 – 158 Gov. Romney

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20.51

Turning to the Senate, two big pickups for the Democrats just announced by CNN.  Elizabeth Warren is now projected to defeat Scott Brown, returning the late Ted Kennedy’s seat to the Democrats.  Elizabeth Warren, as you may recall, was originally slated to head the CFPB, the new agency created as a result of the Dodd-Frank reforms.  Hers will be a powerful voice in the Senate for the left, to be sure.

The other notable pickup for the Dems is Donnelly defeating Richard Mourdock in Indiana.  This race has popped up on our radar a few times now, but it’s nice to see Mourdock’s comments reach their logical conclusion.

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20.44

Remember that projection by NBC that Pennsylvania would go for President Obama?  It was just confirmed by CNN.  This is a big win, as Pennsylvania is the first of the three traditional swing states (with Ohio and Florida being the other two) to be projected.  The President needed those votes.

President Obama 143 – 152 Governor Romney

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20.29

Time for a quick look at the projections being put up by other organizations.

 

NPR: Obama 124 – 154 Romney

The New York Times: Obama 110 – 154 Romney

ABC News: Obama 143 – 153 Romney

NBC News: Obama 148 – 153 Romney  Interestingly, NBC is calling Pennsylvania for President Obama, yet no other news organizations are seconding this one.  I still call it pending.

CBS News: Obama 143 – 153 Romney

What I find interesting is that while the President’s projected Electoral Votes are all over the map, so to speak, Romney’s are fairly consistent across news organizations.  Why is this?  It can partially be explained by the differences in the decision to call a state such as Pennsylvania showing up in Obama’s column on NBC.  It would be interesting to see whether and when the projections will begin to converge on the President’s side.

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20.17

Florida is down to the wire once again.  With 76% of the votes in, President Obama leads by roughly one thousand three hundred votes.  In before the recount.

Interestingly, North Carolina was similarly close, with Romney only holding a lead of about 40,000 votes.  Not even Nate Silver thought Obama would get a shot at North Carolina; though his last projections put it well within the margin of error, the polls he averaged were near unanimous in a Romney lead.  This is one we’ll continue to watch, to be sure.

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20.05

Alright, the big 8pm Central/9 Eastern projection from CNN: South Dakota, Nebraska, Texas, Wyoming, Mississippi, Kansas go for Mitt Romney.  Michigan, New York, and New Jersey go for the President.  No particular surprise in most of them, however, Michigan is an interesting case.  Hit hard by the recession, and ground zero for the auto bailout in 2009, there were questions as to how Michigan would actually go.  It was expected to be a close one, but CNN came up with the firm projection.

It’s early yet, but things are starting to get interesting.

President Obama: 123 – 152 Gov. Romney

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19.53

Turning to a Senate contest now, Linda McMahon has been defeated yet again in Connecticut, this time by Chris Murphy.  How much money will Ms. McMahon throw at elections?  She certainly has deep pockets, but this makes two in a row.  Third time’s the charm?

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19.34

Per CNN, which I am using for all the vote totals coming in, Arkansas and Tennessee are now in Romney’s column.  Again, no surprises there: the Republican candidate usually wins this part of the country handily.

 

Obama 64 – 73 Romney

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19.24

As mentioned in the morning post today, the Indiana Senate race has been an interesting one.  The seat there was held for a while by popular Sen. Luger, who announced his retirement last year.  The seat was largely expected to go for the Republican hopeful, Richard Mourdock.  However, after he made comments similar to Todd Akin’s now-infamous “legitimate rape” statement, the race appears to have turned on its head.

The polls are showing that Democrat Joe Donnelly is currently ahead 50 – 44 with roughly 30% in.

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19.17

Interestingly, CNN is showing the margins in Florida will be extremely close once again.  With 55% reporting, Romney is only ahead by about 73,000 votes.  The percentage is 50 to 49.  If it remains this close, it could go on a while.

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19.14

Hello and welcome to the live blog!  As of this time, Governor Romney is projected to win Georgia’s 16 Electoral Votes.  No real surprises here, bringing his total to 56

Running total: Pres. Obama: 64 – 52 Gov. Romney

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4 comments for “Election Night Results Live!

  1. November 6, 2012 at 20:10

    Thank you a lot for sharing this with all people you actually realize what you’re talking about! Bookmarked.

  2. Tx Cyclist
    November 6, 2012 at 20:49

    PBS just gave Elizabeth Warren the win in Mass.

  3. Tx Cyclist
    November 6, 2012 at 20:50

    And Mourdock lost in Indiana

  4. Bob Derryberry
    November 7, 2012 at 01:18

    It is going to be interesting to see what the stock market does tomorrow.

Comments are closed.